In August, in fact the week ended 8/21/2015, the market made a significant turn. The weekly indicators (moving averages, linear regression curves) turned bearish for the first time since 7/2011.
The Dow downside targets are 14,500-13,700 or as low as 11,000
S&P downside target 1560-1400
The SPY is the ETF that tracks the S&P and here is a chart with a suggested range for escaping or shorting.
The S&P appears to be on its way toward 1576, the high in 2007. Looking at the daily and weekly charts, everything is pointed up and now that it took out resistance at the Sept. 2012 highs, and the debt ceiling issue has been put off for 3 months, or appears to be… I don’t see much to stop it. The ADX is not in overbought territory so there most likely wont be a pull back for a while yet.
And on a weekly basis all indicators are pointing up, what appears to be the beginning of an uptrend. I would not want to be short the mkt here. Definitely not overbought territory.